Saturday, 25 January 2020

Confronting Countered Truths

Ms Trollsmiter was on her way home from her regular Friday protest slot outside Liverpool Street Station yesterday and at Harrow Station got into quite an altercation with a gentleman who took exception to her climate-change placard. To quote her:

His first sentence was: “You don’t believe in that, do you?” Pointing accusingly at my poster.
“Dude.” I gave him a prolonged look. “I am really tired and I have no interest in being in an argument with you right now. Come back some other day.”
“But you carry that poster, DON'T YOU? And you don’t believe in that, DO YOU?”
The brawliness was still somewhat tempered for about 2-3 minutes in which I tested his claim that the planet has gone through temperature changes before by asking him if he knew ‘why’ the planet had gone through these changes in the past, which he, naturally, didn’t … there was a point during the brawl when he started citing my poster loudly: ‘You’re a SCAREMONGERER!’ Now, at THIS glorious point, I was the LAST-PERSON-EVER-to-stop-him, because he was literally making every single person on the platform want to know what was on my poster …

You may recall my only encounter with a climate-change sceptic was more polite and centred on his bizarre assertion that carbon dioxide isn’t a greenhouse gas, a position which I suppose might be true but, if so, would demand the overturning of quite a lot of science; however, the conversation finished with the same assertion of irresponsibility on my part. I wonder whether all such meetings follow the same trajectory.

Of course we had the same thing from POTUS at the Davos summit a few days ago. It would be a waste of time to pick apart Mr Trump’s assault on ‘prophets of doom … alarmists’ and ‘fortune tellers’; but I have heard similar sorts of sentiments even from people who say they accept the scientific consensus, let alone those who don’t want to think about it. The conclusion you have to draw is that the motivation for this comes from somewhere other than the evidence; its source is, I suspect, not even primarily self-interest, but a facet of individual psychology which no amount of argument is going to shift. I mean, as a Christian priest I am used to dealing with apocalyptic and am very much aware of all the sorry souls who down the centuries have concluded that the End is Nigh based on the interpretation of ancient texts and current political events; but what we are facing presently is not that, it’s the result of decades of measurement across a variety of scientific sub-disciplines which all appear to point in exactly the same direction. For the record, I don’t yet think this is The End, as there are elements of the picture in the Book of Revelation which don’t seem present. It might not be the preliminary to Judgement Day, but merely to an unprecedentedly disruptive and damaging episode in human history involving the deaths of untold millions of people and the breakdown of our current civilisation, no worse than that. No biggie.

Given there is a persistent human constituency inclining towards ‘irrational scepticism’, perhaps we ought to be grateful that Mr Trump is there to articulate it so thoroughly: it shows it vividly for what it is, and as a result might dislodge some of the waverers and float them in the direction of reason. Others will find their attitudes confirmed. I suspect they will not number many in this country, but any at all challenge the belief most of us dreadful liberals have most of the time, that reason counts for a great deal in human affairs.

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